Monday, April 15, 2013

Refined Rules in Investing: Rules for Selling

When I first started out in my investment journey, I looked at companies and made investments in those that I felt were undervalued. Some turned out ok, others did not fare as well. After a couple of hits and misses, I figured that I should place greater emphasis on dividend yields for more consistent and predictable returns. That was when I started to define rules on how I should go about selecting companies for inclusion in my portfolio. You can read more about the article here.

Since then, I have been following the rules set in 2011 and have been quite satisfied with my portfolio performance and returns so far. It also gives me a more structured and systematic approach towards analysing and selecting stocks.

Back then, I was thinking about setting some rules for divestments as well. These rules would help me to identify overvalued stocks that I should probably sell to switch to better valued stocks. 2 years on, I finally decided to set some of these rules. The rules are again tied to dividend yields to allow more predictable returns on my portfolio. 

Stocks
  • Dividend yield of less than 2%
Reits
  • Dividend yield of less than 4%
  • Gearing ratio of >50%

Again, I expect a higher yield from reits as their payout ratio is usually much higher than stocks. Using the benchmark yields above, I also hope to avoid a situation of frequent buying and selling as that is not the intent of my portfolio. I will only sell if a particular stock or reit has appreciated substantially beyond what I view as acceptable dividend yield. The gearing ratio for reits is taken into consideration as the gearing generally determines the potential for yield accretive acquisitions without issuing more equity. I will use these rules as guidelines and refine them as I go along.


Recent Stock Actions: CSE Global

I recently just started a position in CSE Global. The group is an integrated solutions provider in the area of automation, telecommunications, healthcare and environmental sectors. The group was hit by a rather major operational setback in their telecommunications division in 2011, resulting in earnings almost halved in that year. But since then, the group seems to have gotten back on track and earnings are returning to 2010 levels.  The profile of the group reminds me of ST Engineering, where they tend to make acquisitions to grow in their key areas of focus. In fact, the company is a spin-off from ST Engineering in the mid 80s. Some of the key points regarding the investment is detailed below.

Positives
  • Strong fundamentals with order book at close to $400 million
  • Decent dividend yield of about 5% at current price with payout ratio of about 40%
  • Good profit margins at over 30%

Negatives
  • Quite high gearing at about 19.2%. Although management has given guidance that they will try to lower gearing to about 10% in the longer term

Monday, February 18, 2013

Dividends in May / June 2013

Dividends to be collected in May 2013

ST Engineering - $414 (17 May)
Capitaland - $210 (17 May)
Capitamalls Asia - $81 (20 May)
CSE Global - $$82 (20 May)
OKP - $225 (27 May)
Riverstone - $76 (28 May)
AIT - $322 (28 May)
Kingsmen - $375 (12 June)

Total - $1785

Wednesday, January 23, 2013

Dividends in Feb/Mar 2013

Dividends to be collected in Feb/Mar 2013

STI ETF - $200 (19 Feb)
Ascott Reit - $127 (28 Feb)

Total - $327

Monday, January 7, 2013

Recent stock actions: Riverstone Holdings

Recently just initiated a position in Riverstone Holdings. This is a relatively unknown Malaysian company introduced to me by a friend. The company deals with production of cleanroom gloves, fingercots and packing bags. The company was listed in 2006 and has a simple business model that is easy to understand. Some of the key points regarding the company are detailed below.

Positives

  • 5 consecutive years of revenue growth (Net profit is largely on uptrend for the past 5 years)
  • Excellent balance sheet with no debt
  • Dividend yield of about 5% at current price (Dividends declared are largely on uptrend for past 5 years)
  • Large cash reserves of 40+mil RM
  • Very decent net profit margin of about 14%

Negatives
  • Dividends are declared in RM, which is subjected to forex risks
  • Relatively low liquidity of stock

All in all, I think this is an undervalued gem. I will be looking to increase my holdings if the price were to correct. 
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